Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.018862 0.020780 0.022709 0.024790 0.026966 0.029171 0.031570
2025-06-08 0.014787 0.017739 0.020833 0.024293 0.028032 0.031931 0.036285
2025-06-15 0.012617 0.016145 0.019954 0.024321 0.029142 0.034261 0.040068
2025-06-22 0.010660 0.014532 0.018834 0.023878 0.029551 0.035667 0.042697
2025-06-29 0.008848 0.012895 0.017526 0.023077 0.029432 0.036380 0.044457
2025-07-06 0.007215 0.011315 0.016155 0.022088 0.028998 0.036653 0.045650
2025-07-13 0.006499 0.010785 0.015962 0.022413 0.030015 0.038515 0.048575
2025-07-20 0.005611 0.009954 0.015346 0.022184 0.030348 0.039563 0.050553
2025-07-27 0.004861 0.009237 0.014817 0.022016 0.030715 0.040621 0.052514
2025-08-03 0.004603 0.009160 0.015074 0.022788 0.032180 0.042931 0.055892
2025-08-10 0.003944 0.008465 0.014498 0.022501 0.032357 0.043728 0.057520
2025-08-17 0.003342 0.007793 0.013913 0.022170 0.032452 0.044409 0.058996
2025-08-24 0.002775 0.007164 0.013414 0.022011 0.032850 0.045559 0.061159
2025-08-31 0.002175 0.006416 0.012726 0.021603 0.032954 0.046390 0.062994
2025-09-07 0.001785 0.005951 0.012392 0.021624 0.033563 0.047798 0.065484
2025-09-14 0.001345 0.005311 0.011756 0.021208 0.033597 0.048497 0.067121
2025-09-21 0.000912 0.004568 0.010904 0.020456 0.033171 0.048614 0.068048
2025-09-28 0.000543 0.003815 0.009962 0.019528 0.032481 0.048379 0.068530
2025-10-05 0.000424 0.003630 0.009910 0.019832 0.033377 0.050079 0.071321
2025-10-12 0.000267 0.003253 0.009508 0.019617 0.033579 0.050915 0.073063
2025-10-19 0.000155 0.002927 0.009160 0.019460 0.033842 0.051815 0.074876
2025-10-26 0.000131 0.002941 0.009413 0.020184 0.035277 0.054175 0.078455
2025-11-02 0.000056 0.002607 0.009007 0.019915 0.035373 0.054854 0.079991